Probability problems in financial theory and practice

In finance, probability and its nature are of great importance. In its analysis of each event is given a certain measure. In general, all finance development occurs between chaos and order. An important economic task is to find the level and mechanism of regulating the financial market. The financial certainty and randomness are associated with financial safety and financial chaos. The article suggests a method assess the probability and the level of financial safety, as well as to consider mechanisms for the spread of shocks and instability in the financial sector. The main conclusion made on the basis of the analysis of financial models - the ability to quantify the levels of macroeconomic financial safety. In addition, an article in the staging plan offers an approach to the development of financial risk matrix, which allows ranking of various risks and goes to forecasting of financial risks that may arise in the future.